{"id":842,"date":"2019-03-27T09:20:40","date_gmt":"2019-03-27T09:20:40","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/?p=842"},"modified":"2019-03-27T09:20:41","modified_gmt":"2019-03-27T09:20:41","slug":"2019-se-poate-sau-nu-vorbi-despre-o-noua-criza-imobiliara","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/2019\/03\/27\/2019-se-poate-sau-nu-vorbi-despre-o-noua-criza-imobiliara\/","title":{"rendered":"2019: Se poate sau nu vorbi despre o nou\u0103 criz\u0103 imobiliar\u0103?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u0218ocurile, inclusiv economice, las\u0103 urme: discu\u021biile (\u0219i specula\u021biile!) cu privire la iminen\u021ba unei noi crize imobiliare continu\u0103 \u0219i \u00een 2019.<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Anul trecut a adeverit estim\u0103rile cu privire la \u00eencetinirea ritmului de cre\u0219tere a pie\u021bei reziden\u021biale autohtone, at\u00e2t \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te pre\u021burile locuin\u021belor, c\u00e2t \u0219i volumul de tranzac\u021bii. Cel pu\u021bin deocamdat\u0103, tendin\u021ba pare a se men\u021bine \u0219i \u00een 2019 \u2013 este semnificativ faptul c\u0103, la finele lunii februarie, suma medie solicitat\u0103 pentru un apartament la nivel na\u021bional era, potrivit\u00a0<strong>Indicelui Imobiliare.ro<\/strong>, cu doar 3% mai mare dec\u00e2t \u00een perioada similar\u0103 a lui 2018.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">\u00abCriz\u0103\u00bb sau \u00abcorec\u021bie\u00bb?<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Dup\u0103 c\u00e2\u021biva ani de cre\u0219teri de pre\u021b sus\u021binute (din a doua jum\u0103tate a lui 2014 \u00eencoace), situa\u021bia actual\u0103 alimenteaz\u0103, din nou, temerile cu privire la declan\u0219area unei noi crize imobiliare. Aceasta a fost, de altfel, una dintre temele abordate \u00een cadrul\u00a0edi\u021biei na\u021bionale a Clubului Profesioni\u0219tilor \u00een Imobiliare, edi\u021bie ce a marcat \u00eemplinirea a zece ani de existen\u021b\u0103 a CPI. P\u0103rerile juc\u0103torilor din pia\u021b\u0103 cu privire la viitorul imediat al reziden\u021bialului autohton au fost optimiste per ansamblu \u2013 chiar dac\u0103 nuan\u021bate pe alocuri.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u201eAst\u0103zi se discut\u0103 foarte mult despre o eventual\u0103 criz\u0103, eu i-a\u0219 spune mai degrab\u0103 corec\u021bie \u2013 oricum ar fi, este firesc ca pia\u021ba s\u0103 fie vie, iar cum \u00een ultimii ani am avut cre\u0219teri constante, s\u0103 vin\u0103 \u0219i momente \u00een care pia\u021ba stagneaz\u0103, \u00een care poate chiar s\u0103 scad\u0103.\u201d<\/p><p><strong>David Grigorescu, pre\u0219edintele Asocia\u021biei Profesionale a Agen\u021bilor Imobiliari din Rom\u00e2nia (APAIR)<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Stocul de locuin\u021be noi, la 10% din necesar<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>Principalul contraargument cu privire la iminen\u021ba unei noi crize \u2013 \u00een adev\u0103ratul sens al cuv\u00e2ntului! \u2013 este dat de factorul cerere \u2013 \u00een\u021beleas\u0103 at\u00e2t ca necesar locativ (la nivelul marilor ora\u0219e, dar nu numai), c\u00e2t \u0219i ca cerere solvabil\u0103. \u201ePersonal, sunt optimist \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te pia\u021ba imobiliar\u0103, pentru c\u0103 cerere exist\u0103, nevoia de locuin\u021be noi (\u0219i mai vechi) este foarte mare\u201d, spune David Grigorescu, pre\u0219edintele Asocia\u021biei Profesionale a Agen\u021bilor Imobiliari din Rom\u00e2nia (APAIR). Lu\u00e2nd exemplul Timi\u0219oarei, Marius \u0218chiopot\u0103, reprezentantul agen\u021biei locale Hitch&amp;Mosher, estimeaz\u0103 c\u0103, propor\u021bional cu alte ora\u0219e europene, popula\u021bia ar avea nevoie de aproximativ 100.000 de unit\u0103\u021bi locative noi. \u00cen capitala Banatului exist\u0103, \u00eens\u0103, un stoc locativ nou de doar circa 10.000 de unit\u0103\u021bi (incluz\u00e2nd aici locuin\u021bele ce ar urma s\u0103 fie livrate anul acesta, dac\u0103 lucrurile merg bine, iar dezvoltatorii reu\u0219esc s\u0103-\u0219i duc\u0103 planurile la bun sf\u00e2r\u0219it).<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u201ePentru mine, lucrurile ori cresc, ori scad. Dac\u0103 am +3% sau +1,5% \u00een Bucure\u0219ti, \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 este o cre\u0219tere. Pia\u021ba, cifrele arat\u0103 c\u0103 este loc \u00een continuare de foarte mare cre\u0219tere. Dac\u0103 m\u0103 uit la faptul c\u0103 fa\u021b\u0103 de momentul de v\u00e2rf din 2008 suntem la 31% cre\u0219tere, \u00eenseamn\u0103 c\u0103 este \u00een continuare loc s\u0103 facem treab\u0103.\u201d<\/p><p><strong>Daniel Tudor, fondator The Concept<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Locuin\u021bele noi se v\u00e2nd off-plan<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>C\u0103 cererea \u2013 solvabil\u0103, de data aceasta \u2013 se afl\u0103 la un nivel ridicat este dovedit \u0219i de ritmul alert al v\u00e2nz\u0103rilor de locuin\u021be noi, multe dintre acestea fiind contractate \u00eenainte de terminarea construc\u021biei sau chiar din faza de proiect. \u201e\u00cen momentul de fa\u021b\u0103, pe zona central\u0103 \u0219i semicentral\u0103 (din Bra\u0219ov, n.red.), nu avem ce livra. 90% din proiectele care se fac \u00een Bra\u0219ov se v\u00e2nd off-plan sau \u00een stadii intermediare\u201d, spune R\u0103zvan Cali\u021b\u0103, de la agen\u021bia Coldwell Banker Alpin. \u201eTot ce \u00eenseamn\u0103 proiect nou \u00een cea mai mare parte se vinde off-plan. Este foarte clar c\u0103 suntem \u00eentr-o zon\u0103 a pie\u021bei \u00een care lucrurile nu vor descre\u0219te. Dac\u0103 st\u0103m s\u0103 calcul\u0103m c\u00e2\u021bi oameni se c\u0103s\u0103toresc \u00een fiecare an sau c\u00e2\u021bi oameni divor\u021beaz\u0103 \u00een fiecare an, \u00eentotdeauna va fi nevoie de spa\u021biu locativ nou\u201d, completeaz\u0103 Andreea Parti, RE\/MAX Choice Timi\u0219oara.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">Pre\u021bul locuin\u021belor noi depinde de costul de construc\u021bie<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>\u00cen ceea ce prive\u0219te evolu\u021bia pre\u021burilor locuin\u021belor noi \u00een perioada imediat urm\u0103toare, Ciprian Iovu, reprezentantul agen\u021biei ie\u0219ene Inter Imobiliare, recunoa\u0219te c\u0103 \u00een pia\u021b\u0103 se simte, \u00eentr-adev\u0103r, o temperare a cre\u0219terii fa\u021b\u0103 de anii trecu\u021bi. Acesta se arat\u0103 \u00eens\u0103 ne\u00eencrez\u0103tor \u00een posibilitatea ca pre\u021burile s\u0103 intre pe o tendin\u021b\u0103 descendent\u0103. \u201eAt\u00e2t timp c\u00e2t apar multe proiecte, iar pre\u021bul pe metru p\u0103trat nu prea are cum s\u0103 scad\u0103 foarte mult, pentru c\u0103 mai este \u0219i un cost de construire, nu prea v\u0103d cum ar putea fi o criz\u0103 a\u0219a de mare (\u2026) ca lumea s\u0103 a\u0219tepte s\u0103 mai scad\u0103 pre\u021bul ca s\u0103 fac\u0103 o achizi\u021bie ulterioar\u0103. Mai ales c\u0103, cel pu\u021bin \u00een Ia\u0219i, un apartament, dac\u0103 apare la un raport calitate-pre\u021b foarte bun, se vinde imediat, adic\u0103 \u0219i cu, \u0219i f\u0103r\u0103 criz\u0103\u201d, explic\u0103 acesta.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u201eCe criz\u0103? Colc\u0103ie pia\u021ba de clien\u021bi. O perioad\u0103 mai bun\u0103 de dezvoltare imobiliar\u0103 n-am cunoscut \u00een ultimii 16 ani, de c\u00e2nd sunt eu \u00een aceast\u0103 industrie. Ce criz\u0103 s\u0103 vin\u0103 \u00een momentul de fa\u021b\u0103, c\u00e2nd avem clien\u021bi nesuna\u021bi?\u201d<\/p><p><strong>C\u0103t\u0103lin Priscorni\u021b\u0103, CEO Blitz Imobiliare (Cluj)<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<h2 class=\"wp-block-heading\">O pia\u021b\u0103 totu\u0219i sensibil\u0103<\/h2>\n\n\n\n<p>De\u0219i perspectivele reziden\u021bialului autohton sunt, dup\u0103 cum am v\u0103zut, optimiste pentru juc\u0103torii din pia\u021b\u0103, se impun totu\u0219i c\u00e2teva nuan\u021b\u0103ri. David Grigorescu, pre\u0219edintele APAIR, consider\u0103 c\u0103 pia\u021ba din Rom\u00e2nia este foarte sensibil\u0103 la influen\u021be precum sc\u0103derea gradului de \u00eendatorare, cre\u0219terea euro sau a ROBOR. La asemenea schimb\u0103ri, cump\u0103r\u0103torul de pe pia\u021ba reziden\u021bial\u0103 face, de regul\u0103, un pas \u00eenapoi \u2013 vrea s\u0103 \u0219tie ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103, unde se opre\u0219te euro, c\u00e2\u021bi bani mai poate lua de la banc\u0103, a\u0219teapt\u0103 un timp pentru a vedea ce se \u00eent\u00e2mpl\u0103, dac\u0103 scad sau nu pre\u021burile. Tocmai aceast\u0103 sensibilitate face ca num\u0103rul de tranzac\u021bii s\u0103 scad\u0103 \u00een anumite perioade.<\/p>\n\n\n\n<blockquote class=\"wp-block-quote is-layout-flow wp-block-quote-is-layout-flow\"><p>\u201eN-a\u0219 vrea s\u0103 v\u0103 spun dac\u0103 urmeaz\u0103 o criz\u0103 sau nu, cred c\u0103 niciunul dintre noi nu este \u00een m\u0103sur\u0103 s\u0103 fac\u0103 acest lucru, cred totu\u0219i c\u0103 o corec\u021bie \u00een perspectiva urm\u0103torilor trei-patru ani va fi pe pia\u021b\u0103, indiferent de c\u00e2t optimism abord\u0103m ast\u0103zi.\u201d<\/p><p><strong>Marius \u0218chiopot\u0103, Hitch&amp;Mosher Timi\u0219oara<\/strong><\/p><\/blockquote>\n\n\n\n<p><a href=\"https:\/\/www.imobiliare.ro\/imoexpert\/2019-se-poate-sau-nu-vorbi-despre-o-noua-criza-imobiliara_db\/\">Sursa: imobiliare.ro<\/a><\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"\u0218ocurile, inclusiv economice, las\u0103 urme: discu\u021biile (\u0219i specula\u021biile!) cu privire la iminen\u021ba unei noi crize imobiliare continu\u0103 \u0219i \u00een 2019. Anul trecut a adeverit estim\u0103rile cu privire la \u00eencetinirea ritmului de cre\u0219tere a pie\u021bei reziden\u021biale autohtone, at\u00e2t \u00een ceea ce prive\u0219te pre\u021burile locuin\u021belor, c\u00e2t \u0219i volumul de tranzac\u021bii. Cel pu\u021bin deocamdat\u0103, tendin\u021ba pare a se &#8230;","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":843,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,21],"tags":[],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/842"}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=842"}],"version-history":[{"count":1,"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/842\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":844,"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/842\/revisions\/844"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/843"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=842"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=842"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.imopuls.ro\/blog\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=842"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}